Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.167912 4.467384 4.792063 5.172886 5.610847 6.103175 6.704952
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.739701 4.120549 4.555119 5.095419 5.760727 6.569858 7.656710
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.468859 3.907465 4.429312 5.111285 6.004380 7.175685 8.910760
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.247811 3.726773 4.317333 5.123986 6.242587 7.823028 10.422474
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.137749 3.670076 4.351572 5.328542 6.775302 9.014415 13.255276
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.880939 3.403579 4.086133 5.090802 6.635188 9.160078 14.408268
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.768375 3.316380 4.052383 5.177792 7.007142 10.268242 18.238195
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.659167 3.224541 4.002956 5.235334 7.347901 11.460350 23.595259
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.497812 3.049733 3.820447 5.065581 7.269340 11.805980 27.138208
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.344473 2.876944 3.628295 4.860666 7.095769 11.905752 30.213903
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.320514 2.884833 3.703112 5.100614 7.812249 14.464858 53.517316
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.361127 2.988111 3.932423 5.642384 9.325237 20.722301 361.627871
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.233035 2.849001 3.793102 5.551103 9.542932 23.686973 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.106502 2.704084 3.632311 5.398679 9.583999 26.309140 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.013410 2.604262 3.537444 5.362942 9.938522 31.786212 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.930066 2.514095 3.450989 5.332747 10.321379 39.589276 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.886545 2.483300 3.463326 5.513577 11.470126 65.176822 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.779467 2.344903 3.275774 5.231654 10.971885 65.811703 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.730161 2.296707 3.245020 5.297705 11.769714 114.664163 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.680967 2.245629 3.204605 5.336265 12.526727 266.846324 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.606814 2.149709 3.074816 5.144026 12.238730 352.459712 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.534002 2.052998 2.938075 4.920643 11.744588 367.739717 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.520962 2.054627 2.984559 5.154270 13.513035 NaN NaN